Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.269112 5.087072 5.997450 7.082630 8.337605 9.739870 11.421745
2025-07-27 3.241697 4.334908 5.675321 7.426199 9.637718 12.321753 15.807325
2025-08-03 2.475861 3.652553 5.217588 7.421553 10.409966 14.280941 19.626663
2025-08-10 1.880165 3.030335 4.674886 7.148013 10.711588 15.588055 22.675120
2025-08-17 1.465134 2.560628 4.232998 6.899338 10.951481 16.765646 25.591518
2025-08-24 1.211082 2.276700 4.001155 6.895255 11.501010 18.382720 29.220929
2025-08-31 1.018897 2.050937 3.813978 6.915231 12.060867 20.033134 33.005653
2025-09-07 0.850645 1.830318 3.593761 6.837988 12.436823 21.409949 36.459271
2025-09-14 0.682087 1.572339 3.262944 6.517437 12.359299 22.041112 38.768497
2025-09-21 0.581751 1.427233 3.111642 6.486965 12.758019 23.457941 42.423362
2025-09-28 0.498233 1.299126 2.970583 6.451352 13.133373 24.851317 46.124450
2025-10-05 0.468607 1.284217 3.051662 6.847745 14.327233 27.730762 52.525901
2025-10-12 0.422852 1.224520 3.035140 7.057040 15.207658 30.157642 58.375025
2025-10-19 0.391866 1.194663 3.078571 7.394387 16.367485 33.175825 65.479390
2025-10-26 0.340856 1.101822 2.966445 7.388184 16.846693 34.980240 70.529139
2025-11-02 0.281744 0.972099 2.746288 7.115263 16.753093 35.697149 73.631212
2025-11-09 0.233803 0.860958 2.550507 6.867456 16.679188 36.434017 76.803473
2025-11-16 0.204671 0.798399 2.465368 6.863348 17.119738 38.198861 82.026248
2025-11-23 0.180475 0.744919 2.394562 6.883229 17.611684 40.096065 87.616522
2025-11-30 0.155967 0.683315 2.290616 6.806298 17.876027 41.544302 92.408003
2025-12-07 0.127284 0.597692 2.102424 6.487061 17.547805 41.734645 94.691598
2025-12-14 0.111265 0.553969 2.028442 6.456714 17.893532 43.366332 99.991390
2025-12-21 0.097226 0.513403 1.956373 6.421247 18.221745 44.979571 105.344050